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New Prediction
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
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Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Yes
65%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 26, 2024 08:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 26, 2024 to Dec 26, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files