Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Feb 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Yes
35%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Myanmar is facing increasing pressure from ASEAN and the international community to hold the democratic elections, but the resistance in the junta seems to point to an ability to hold onto power without the democratic elections.
Why might you be wrong?
If the junta faces internal or external pressures that cause a premature collapse it may trigger elections.