Forecasted Questions
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2025 08:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 29, 2025 08:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 3% | +4% | +0% |
| No | 93% | 97% | -4% | +0% |
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2025 08:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 29, 2025 08:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30 days | 0% | 68% | -68% | +2% |
| 30 days | 51% | 6% | +45% | +0% |
| 31-60 days | 19% | 6% | +13% | +0% |
| 61-90 days | 16% | 5% | +11% | +0% |
| 91 days or more | 14% | 16% | -2% | -2% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2025 08:43PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 29, 2025 08:43PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 20% | 3% | +17% | +0% |
| Latvia | 20% | 2% | +18% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 20% | 3% | +17% | +0% |
Will the FDA have authorized a medical device that incorporates LLM-based functionality by 31 March 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 23, 2025 11:30PM UTC
(14 days ago)
Nov 23, 2025 11:30PM UTC
(14 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 3% | +2% | +2% |
| No | 95% | 97% | -2% | -2% |