Declarations of war are rare and it would take a lot for that to happen, proxy conflicts are more likely.
-0.002417
Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 28, 2024 06:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
31%
Yes
Jan 28, 2024 to Jan 28, 2025
69%
No
Jan 28, 2024 to Jan 28, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Tensions in the middle east are high and conflict is always a possibility, Iran seeking regional power so could be willing to declare war if it poses to be beneficial.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
This seems extremely advanced and healthcare/science will likely be delayed by funding/policy changes in the Trump administration
Why might you be wrong?