Confirmed previous forecast
0.350182
Relative Brier Score
17
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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