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New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
85%
No
Microsoft leaders have discussed how to deal with the tensions. Gates, who is still in regular contact with company executives and supports global engagement, has long supported the Beijing lab, people with knowledge of the matter said. He traveled to China in June and met with President Xi Jinping, who told him he was “the first American friend I have met this year.”
Microsoft technology and research leaders, including Peter Lee and Kevin Scott, the chief technology officer, also support the lab and argue that it has produced crucial technological advances, two people said. Smith also supports the lab.
https://www.nytimes.com/es/2024/01/12/espanol/china-microsoft-inteligencia-artificial.html
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
It is projected for 2024
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(+29%)
Yes
1%
(-29%)
No
no changes will be made
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