alifit

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Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

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Forecasts 0 0 1 1 6
Comments 0 0 1 1 6
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 1 5
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alifit
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
alifit
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
50%
Less than $350 million
24%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
16%
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
5%
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
5%
More than or equal to $650 million
Why do you think you're right?

50% (+3%)Less than $350 million

20% (+1%)More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million

10% (+1%) More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million

Files
Why might you be wrong?

5% (-3%)More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million

5% (-2%)More than or equal to $650 million

Files
Files
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