Forecasted Questions
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 98% | +2% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 10% | 28% | -18% | +5% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million | 21% | 45% | -24% | +3% |
| More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million | 39% | 22% | +17% | -4% |
| More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million | 20% | 5% | +15% | -3% |
| More than or equal to $800 million | 10% | 1% | +9% | -1% |
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | 1% | +29% | +0% |
| No | 70% | 99% | -29% | +0% |
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 26, 2025 09:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 0% | 21% | -21% | +9% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 10% | 42% | -32% | +10% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 20% | 14% | +6% | -4% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 30% | 9% | +21% | -5% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 40% | 13% | +27% | -10% |
Before 1 January 2029, will either the U.S. or UK enact a law granting tax incentives to companies that pass an independent security audit for their AI models?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2029 05:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Jan 01, 2029 05:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2025 09:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 26, 2025 09:41PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | 20% | +70% | +8% |
| No | 10% | 80% | -70% | -8% |