Alexander-Verbesey

Alexander Verbesey
About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 09:59PM UTC
(11 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $350 million 10% 36%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million 21% 44%
More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million 39% 16%
More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million 20% 3%
More than or equal to $800 million 10% 1%

Before 1 January 2029, will either the U.S. or UK enact a law granting tax incentives to companies that pass an independent security audit for their AI models?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2029 05:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 09:59PM UTC
(11 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 90% 20%
No 10% 80%

Will an AI-enabled cyber-attack, attributed to a state actor, cause significant disruption to critical national infrastructure in any G20 country before 1 July 2026?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(11 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 19% 21%
No 81% 79%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username