Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2025 12:45PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Mar 31, 2025 12:45PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 10% | 3% | +7% | +1% |
| Latvia | 10% | 2% | +8% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 10% | 3% | +7% | +1% |
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2025 12:46PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Mar 31, 2025 12:46PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | 3% | +27% | -6% |
| No | 70% | 97% | -27% | +6% |
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2025 12:46PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Mar 31, 2025 12:46PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 9% | 4% | +5% | -7% |
| Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations | Answer was correct | |||
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2025 12:46PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Mar 31, 2025 12:46PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31% | 2% | +29% | -4% |
| No | 69% | 98% | -29% | +4% |
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2025 12:47PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Mar 31, 2025 12:47PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30 days | 79% | 67% | +12% | +22% |
| 30 days | 9% | 6% | +3% | -8% |
| 31-60 days | 10% | 6% | +4% | -8% |
| 61-90 days | 2% | 5% | -3% | -4% |
| 91 days or more | 0% | 16% | -16% | -2% |