Forecasted Questions
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 15, 2025 02:53PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Apr 15, 2025 02:53PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | -1% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 10% | 0% | +10% | -9% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 30% | 0% | +30% | -11% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 30% | 2% | +28% | -13% |
| Not before 2026 | 30% | 98% | -68% | +34% |