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Why do you think you're right?
All parties independently want one and are incentivized to achieve one, and a pause is effectively needed before the final push into Rafah to accommodate civilian movement.
Why might you be wrong?
Decapitation of Hamas leadership; unlikely death of large number of hostages caused by either side; Hamas is unable to execute a hostage transfer due to unknown factors; or should a >30 day pause be interrupted, the parties restart the pause without extending the timeframe as the question envisions.