Anna-Ringvold

Anna Ringvold
About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 1
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Badge
Anna-Ringvold
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
Anna-Ringvold
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Market
  • China is a huge and growing market, which make it unlikely that it will be closed
  • Counter-argument: LinkedIn mostly pulled out of China in 2021[^2]
  • "While we’ve found success in helping Chinese members find jobs and economic opportunity, we have not found that same level of success in the more social aspects of sharing and staying informed," LinkedIn said.
  • "We're also facing a significantly more challenging operating environment and greater compliance requirements in China."
  • Takeaway: Does not sway me too much because I expect there to be little overlap in the challenges facing LinkedIn as a social media company and research entity like MSR Asia
  • I could still be wrong because the overall political environment is just too strained.[^3]
  • I've mostly considered whether China is an attractive market for Microsoft and whether or not *Microsoft* wants to keep operating there. But it could be that the relevant fact
Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username