Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
84%
(0%)
Yes
16%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
Why do you think you're right?
China has been following its Belt Road Initiative and Silk Road-like path that will surely hit Africa sooner or later.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
President Trump would help with Chinese relations enough to possibly prevent this.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
84%
Yes
16%
No
Why do you think you're right?
After trumps AI bill, NVIDIA will definitely have a huge value in the market.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Other AI companies can overcome NVIDIA
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 24%
45%
(-11%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
55%
(+11%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 28%
CHIPS & Science Act provided an economic stimulus to semiconductor manufacturing companies in the U.S so I think this will contribute to a boom in 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 24%
56%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
44%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
0%
More than or equal to 28%
CHIPS & science act added great funding to semiconductor startups who are very keen on domestic production.
Files
Status quo would be above 28%, and only one quarter to go. You might wish to re-think this.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
President Trump seems very committed to ending this war prior to year's end.
Why might you be wrong?
If Europe keeps funding Ukraine to fight against Russia, there may be a greater chance that the war goes on longer.