Confirmed previous forecast
0.142374
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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New Prediction
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
0%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
20%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
65%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
15%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Yes
25%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 59
0%
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
20%
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
65%
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
15%
More than or equal to 90
This kind of strategies are expected to be more frequent especially with the links to North Korea that Russia is promoting openly
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
As a follower of China´s work with US based enterprises, i do think this is not a probable outcome
Files