Continued economic expansion of China in Africa coupled with decline of U.S.. influence since dissolution of USAID
-0.009068
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Question Suggested
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
Yes
35%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Conflict elsewhere
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 7, 2025 06:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
75%
Yes
Mar 7, 2025 to Sep 7, 2026
25%
No
Mar 7, 2025 to Sep 7, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
The attacks have already occurred, jut no kinetic effects yet.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Ran out of time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
Why do you think you're right?
U.S. political pressure
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Death of a key player, e.g., Putin, Trump
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Decline of the large language model market bubble.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The current ML bubble may last longer than I posit.
Files
New Badge
Thanks Whiteheads,
your observation is totally correct…
Obviously - but it’s important to specify - I was referring to the Eur-Usd pair, NOT the dollar…