RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 10, 2025 05:32PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	13%	3%	+10%	-11%
No	87%	97%	-10%	+11%

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 10, 2025 06:01PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications	18%	3%	+15%	-16%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP	80%	95%	-15%	+17%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP	2%	2%	+0%	-1%

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 13, 2025 02:18PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Estonia	5%	3%	+2%	+1%
Latvia	5%	2%	+3%	+1%
Lithuania	5%	2%	+3%	+1%

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 13, 2025 05:19PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Moldova	6%	5%	+1%	-2%
Armenia	3%	2%	+1%	+0%
Georgia	5%	3%	+2%	-1%
Kazakhstan	1%	1%	+0%	+0%

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 14, 2025 02:32PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	38%	16%	+22%	-21%
No	62%	84%	-22%	+21%

Victor-Babaniyi