AnnaBCunille

The Russia-Ukraine conflict involves so many different geopolitical differences and historical tensions, that the probability of there being a peace agreement soon is quite low. Even if there's a higher chance for there to be temporary ceasefire agreements, it's unlikely that both nations will end up winning what they want because no one is willing to give up anything. What they ask for is way to controversial, and they've got to a point where the results of the war is aggravating the damage so much that no one will put a finish to this without winning all. 

It's true that previous negotiations have taken place and there has been some advances, however,  the conflict has never been just about Russia and Ukraine. The involvement of the U.S. not only in the war with Russia, but also in the international commercial trade "conflict" right now has been deteriorating the geopolitical situation of many countries making it harder to focus on a peace agreement for the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Moreover, the constant involvement of the European Union as a block has been showing more strength each time and more reassurance of what they are open to negotiate. Still, there was been too many distractions in the whole world that doesn't let the finals negotiation more forward. Recent efforts of negotiations between the E.U. block and Russia took place, resulting in one of the most tragic bombardes from Russia to Ukraine over night. This action does not show positive progress.

This reading of various perspectives by authors of different countries shows really good what's in stake right now, and how might future negotiations go: https://cepa.org/article/ukraine-ceasefire-deal-what-does-it-mean/

Also this reading has in depth analysis of what it would take for it to be a ceasefire soon: https://theglobalobservatory.org/2025/03/what-would-it-take-for-a-ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-to-hold/

I believe there is a high probability that Argentina will stop paying its external debt for some time. Firstly, for quite a time Argentina has been experiencing an economic crisis with its high inflation and its currency depreciation. Although President Milei and the country have implemented strategies of bureaucratic cuts and lowering public spending, the external debt has kept on growing fast. Since Argentina's economy is not properly and formally dollarized, its central bank doesn't have enough support and sustentation. 

In the case of Bolivia, the country is facing various problems related to their international reserves, the decrease in exports, political issues, amongst various topics. Nonetheless, Bolivia's economy is almost dollarized, and that means that the country will not stop making payments. In the las decade Bolivia's economy was stable and even growing, so overall, the country has enough tools to pay their debt. 

For Ecuador, its economy is dollarized which has helped its economy to be stable, so just like Bolivia, Ecuador will not stop paying their debt. The country is facing challenged with its high debt, environmental issues, energy shortages, fiscal deficits, and insecurity, however Ecuador has shown before a good manage of paying its debt. What is risky of Ecuador's situation in the fact that the external debt has been growing as well as the climate factor which has impacted the country greatly. The help of international organizations may help the country, but it might take time to solve everything. 

Technology has been growing every year, and thus, investments are growing too. Right now, many countries are greatly dedicated to the development of new technologies, AI being one of the most relevant. With the new administration in the US, I feel like there is going to be an important presence of technological development in the country, promoting competition for national and international companies. This will generate investments at a worldwide level to keep on growing technologies. As seen in finviz (https://finviz.com/map.ashx?t=sec) Nvidia has had an exponential growth in the last years, as well as some important fallings, and this will not stop so soon. Although other countries are developing strong technologies related to AI, like China with the recent introduction of DeepSeek, US is still the main developer. I don't feel like there's another country who's going to take US's place at least in 2025. As a consequence, Nvidia has support from different industries and countries to continue its growth. Furthermore, Nvidia not only has provided AI to the world, the production of good chips are essential for the future of the company. The company's main value comes from the quality and efficiency of its chips. All together, I definitely believe Nvidia will be one of the world's most valuable company by market cap, nonetheless, I cannot say it will be the one, since there are other huge international companies with a long-lasting forecast of stable and exponential growth .