Forecasted Questions
Will the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, a measure of U.S. residential home costs, exceed 350 by July 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jul 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 13, 2025 11:24PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 13, 2025 11:24PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83% | 55% | +28% | -38% |
| No | 17% | 45% | -28% | +38% |
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 14, 2025 05:12PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 14, 2025 05:12PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | -3% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 16% | 2% | +14% | -6% |
| Not before 2026 | 84% | 98% | -14% | +9% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 18, 2025 04:05PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 18, 2025 04:05PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 5% | 6% | -1% | -2% |
| Armenia | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
| Georgia | 2% | 3% | -1% | -1% |
| Kazakhstan | 2% | 1% | +1% | +0% |
Will any major international non-governmental research funders implement specific policies restricting or requiring oversight of mirror biology research by 31 December 2030?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 22, 2025 04:04PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 22, 2025 04:04PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | 47% | +20% | +3% |
| No | 33% | 53% | -20% | -3% |
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 05, 2025 02:37PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Sep 05, 2025 02:37PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30 days | 4% | 68% | -64% | +2% |
| 30 days | 10% | 6% | +4% | -1% |
| 31-60 days | 20% | 6% | +14% | -1% |
| 61-90 days | 43% | 5% | +38% | +0% |
| 91 days or more | 23% | 16% | +7% | -1% |