Forecasted Questions
Will at least one European country or the European Union (EU) collectively commit to providing Ukraine with HIMARS-compatible rocket artillery systems or functional substitutes by 31 December 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 22, 2025 01:24AM UTC
(6 months ago)
Jun 22, 2025 01:24AM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85% | 19% | +66% | -55% |
| No | 15% | 81% | -66% | +55% |
What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 22, 2025 01:25AM UTC
(6 months ago)
Jun 22, 2025 01:25AM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 62% | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 62% but less than 66% | 3% | 0% | +3% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 66% but less than 70% | 75% | 4% | +71% | -31% |
| More than or equal to 70% but less than 74% | 20% | 96% | -76% | +31% |
| More than or equal to 74% | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |
How much more military aid will European countries allocate to Ukraine compared to the U.S. between 24 January 2022 and 31 December 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2025 05:28AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jul 31, 2025 05:28AM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe allocates the same amount or less than the U.S. | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than €0 but less than €10 billion | 11% | 1% | +10% | -7% |
| At least €10 billion but less than €20 billion | 28% | 5% | +23% | -26% |
| At least €20 billion but less than €30 billion | 36% | 51% | -15% | +7% |
| €30 billion or more | 25% | 43% | -18% | +27% |
Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 11, 2025 03:46PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 11, 2025 03:46PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +0% |