Forecasted Questions
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(18 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(18 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 25, 2025 10:16PM UTC
(18 days ago)
Nov 25, 2025 10:16PM UTC
(18 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Nov 25, 2025 to May 25, 2026 | Dec 25, 2025 | 1% | -1% | -1% |
| No | 100% | Nov 25, 2025 to May 25, 2026 | Dec 25, 2025 | 99% | +1% | +1% |