159th

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ishan

About:

I'm a policy expert based in Washington DC, with expertise in technology policy, trade, foreign policy and national security, and democracy issues. I have experience working in government, the private sector, and think-tanks.

Star Commenter - Aug 2025

Active Forecaster

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Forecasted Questions

Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 13, 2025 11:51PM UTC
(4 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	1%	1%	+0%	+0%
No	99%	99%	+0%	+0%