Forecasted Questions
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 03, 2025 03:07PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Nov 03, 2025 03:07PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 0% | 21% | -21% | +7% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 0% | 43% | -43% | +7% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 0% | 14% | -14% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 0% | 9% | -9% | -4% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 100% | 13% | +87% | -9% |
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 14, 2025 06:39PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Nov 14, 2025 06:39PM UTC
(22 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 95% | 7% | +88% | +3% |
| No | 5% | 93% | -88% | -3% |