Forecasted Questions
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 22, 2025 06:42PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 22, 2025 06:42PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 7% | +3% | +2% |
| No | 90% | 93% | -3% | -2% |
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 22, 2025 07:53PM UTC
(14 days ago)
Nov 22, 2025 07:53PM UTC
(14 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 0% | 21% | -21% | +2% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 0% | 43% | -43% | +4% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 38% | 14% | +24% | +2% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 40% | 9% | +31% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 22% | 13% | +9% | -8% |
Will the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, a measure of U.S. residential home costs, exceed 350 by July 2027?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jul 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 22, 2025 08:07PM UTC
(14 days ago)
Nov 22, 2025 08:07PM UTC
(14 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 55% | -45% | -8% |
| No | 90% | 45% | +45% | +8% |