Reyes-Rodr-guez-Frida

Reyes Rodríguez Frida

About:

View All Badges »

0.001173

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes

Forecasting Activity

Forecasting Calendar

No forecasts in the past 3 months

	Past Week	Past Month	Past Year	This Season	All Time
Forecasts	0	0	1	1	1
Comments	0	0	1	1	1
Questions Forecasted	0	0	1	1	1
Upvotes on Comments By This User	0	0	0	0	0
Definitions

New Badge

Reyes-Rodr-guez-Frida earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!

New Badge

Reyes-Rodr-guez-Frida earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Will the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China engage in a lethal confrontation by 30 September 2025?

Reyes-Rodr-guez-Frida made their 1st forecast (view all):

Compare to me

Probability

Answer

Yes

95%

Why do you think you're right?

The Military forces of India and the Republic of China are not getting involved, at least in the coming days, since there haven’t been any recent tensions and, following the dialogue in 2024, they were able to establish measures such as border patrols.

Files

Why might you be wrong?

The world is in constant flux, and decisions are ultimately made by actors operating within specific spatial and temporal contexts. This means that the emergence of external factors could once again trigger the reappearance of conflicts.

Files

Aug 29, 2025 07:46PM UTC