Forecasted Questions
Will a new multilateral security agreement involving at least three Middle East and North Africa (MENA) states (excluding Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Israel) be publicly announced by 30 June 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 05, 2025 03:27PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Sep 05, 2025 03:27PM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63% | 5% | +58% | -12% |
| No | 37% | 95% | -58% | +12% |
Before 1 January 2029, will either the U.S. or UK enact a law granting tax incentives to companies that pass an independent security audit for their AI models?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2029 05:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Jan 01, 2029 05:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 23, 2025 11:24PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Oct 23, 2025 11:24PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57% | 20% | +37% | +5% |
| No | 43% | 80% | -37% | -5% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 23, 2025 11:26PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Oct 23, 2025 11:26PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 8% | 34% | -26% | +11% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million | 29% | 45% | -16% | +4% |
| More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million | 30% | 17% | +13% | -9% |
| More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million | 17% | 3% | +14% | -5% |
| More than or equal to $800 million | 16% | 1% | +15% | -1% |