Forecasted Questions
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(21 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(21 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:47AM UTC
(11 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:47AM UTC
(11 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026 | Jan 1, 2026 | 1% | +29% | +1% |
| No | 70% | Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026 | Jan 1, 2026 | 99% | -29% | -1% |