Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 67 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 26 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 25 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
7%
(0%)
Yes
93%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
(+6%)
Yes
93%
(-6%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
I slightly adjusted my prediction to align with the crowd.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I slightly adjusted my prediction to align with the crowd.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Why do you think you're right?
So far there is no indicator of it.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
