What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?
An aluminum shortage has seen the price of aluminum rise to historically high levels in recent months. Sanctions on Russia, the 3rd largest supplier of aluminum, may worsen the shortage and cause prices to rise even higher. This question will be resolved using the “close” price of aluminum on June 1, 2022, as reported by Markets Insider.
Additional Reading:
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- Aluminum prices hit 13-year high amid power shortage in China
Outcome
| Answer | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $3000 | 85% | Happened |
| More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500 | 13% | Did not happen |
| More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000 | 1% | Did not happen |
| More than or equal to $4000 | 0% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.
Crowd forecast over time
Less than $3000
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000
More than or equal to $4000