What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022?

Multiple choice Opened 7 April 2022 Closed 6 May 2022 Resolved 11 May 2022 186 forecasts 60 forecasters

This question will resolve using the “close” price of VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) available at Yahoo Finance on 6 May 2022.
The VanEck Semiconductors ETF aims to replicate the performance of the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, the 25 largest and most liquid US exchange-listed companies in the semiconductor industry (VanEck, MVIS). It contains companies that generate at least 50% of their revenue from semiconductor production or equipment and represents global leaders in the semiconductor industry like the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, NVIDIA, and Intel.

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than $240	66%	Happened
More than or equal to $240 but less than $260	33%	Did not happen
More than or equal to $260 but less than $280	1%	Did not happen
More than or equal to $280 but less than $300	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to $300	0%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

Less than $240 More than or equal to $240 but less than $260 More than or equal to $260 but less than $280 More than or equal to $300 More than or equal to $280 but less than $300

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.