From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?

Multiple choice Opened 21 April 2022 Closed 1 April 2023 Resolved 18 April 2023 302 forecasts 51 forecasters

Economic and political crises in Lebanon have led to an increase in anti-government protests and riots in recent years (CBS News). Additionally, rising food prices have led to riots among citizens as arguments over food and other necessities turned violent (Reuters).
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot events in Lebanon for a given time period:

Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
Select “Riots” and “Protests” from the event type filter.
Select “Lebanon” from the Region filter.
Click “Apply Filters”.
Ensure the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph displays “Event Count”.

Additional Reading:

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than 200	99%	Happened
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400	1%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 1000	0%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

Less than 200 More than or equal to 200 but less than 400 More than or equal to 400 but less than 600 More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000 More than or equal to 600 but less than 800 More than or equal to 1000

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.