Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

Yes/No Opened 12 May 2022 Closed 1 January 2023 Resolved 20 April 2023 258 forecasts 60 forecasters

Question will be resolved using Adzuna data from the OECD AI Policy Observatory’s data on AI jobs and skills. The link will take you to the “Relative International AI skill demand” page. Set the following parameters for the data:

AI skill: artificial intelligence
Country: United States

See here for more information about the OECD’s methodology and the Adzuna data. Question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and resolved when the OECD database is updated with data.
New to AI? Check out our blog post on AI competitiveness for a list of resources to jumpstart your research. To learn more about the OECD data and how it's used by policy makers, check out this video.

Outcome

Outcome	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Yes	2%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.