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Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022?

Yes/No Opened 26 May 2022 Closed 31 July 2022 Resolved 1 August 2022 201 forecasts 70 forecasters
Facial recognition software company Clearview AI has come under scrutiny by multiple governments for collecting images of citizens without their consent and using them to build a database for their facial recognition software (GPDP, ICO, TechCrunch). In December of 2021, the French Data Protection Agency (CNIL) ordered Clearview to delete data collected on persons within French territory (CNIL, The Verge). In May, the President of the CNIL said that they were considering levying penalties against Clearview, indicating that they may believe that Clearview has failed to comply with this order.   This question will be resolved “Yes” if CNIL announces a fine against Clearview AI. Previous fines have been announced on their website. 

Outcome

Outcome Final crowd forecast Resolution
Yes 1% Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% May 2022 Jul 2022 Jul 2022 1% Yes
The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.