Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
In October of 2021, the American Innovation and Choice Online Act was introduced in the U.S. Senate as a piece of anti-trust legislation targeting large online platforms. The bill would, among other things, prohibit platforms from giving preferential treatment to their own products and restricting competitors’ access to data generated on the platform (Brookings).
The bill was reported to the Senate by the Committee on the Judiciary in March, and recent statements by the bill’s sponsors have suggested that a vote is imminent. However, many big tech companies have lobbied against the bill, claiming that it would harm consumers and create cybersecurity risks (Bloomberg). Additionally, some Senate Democrats have expressed concerns that a vote could harm re-election chances in the fall (Politico).
Outcome
| Answer | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and it will pass | 1% | Did not happen |
| Yes, and it will not pass | 1% | Did not happen |
| No | 98% | Happened |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.
Crowd forecast over time
No
Yes, and it will not pass
Yes, and it will pass