From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 10,000 or more civilian fatalities in Ethiopia?
This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of fatalities in Ethiopia for a given time period:
- Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
- Select “Violence against civilians” from the event type filter.
- Select “Ethiopia” from the Region filter.
- Click “Apply Filters”.
- Change the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph from “Event Count” to “Fatalities”.
Additional Reading:
- The World's Deadliest War Isn't in Ukraine, But in Ethiopia (Washington Post)
- More than 200 civilians have reportedly been killed in an ethnic attack in Ethiopia (NPR)
- Ethiopian Human Rights Commission documents mass civilian casualties (DW)
- More than 50,000 Ethiopia civilians have been killed, Tigray opposition says (LA Times)
Outcome
| Outcome | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.