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What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023?

Multiple choice Opened 15 September 2022 Closed 1 April 2023 Resolved 15 May 2023 162 forecasts 40 forecasters
Scaling production of synthetic biology processes remains a key challenge (Institution of Engineering and Technology, Harvard Business Review). Gingko Bioworks foundry and codebase offers a platform to facilitate scaling both the research and production processes of their customers by programming and manufacturing cells on their behalf (Gingko Bioworks, Forbes, Nasdaq). These “cell programs” allow companies to manufacture food, pharmaceutical, and petrochemical products through biological processes (Gingko Bioworks).     This question will be resolved based on Ginkgo Bioworks’ first quarter financial report, which can be found on their investment web page. Foundry revenue for Q2 2022 can be found on slide 12 of the Q2 presentation and page 7 of the SEC filing.  
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Outcome

Answer Final crowd forecast Resolution
Less than $30 million 4% Did not happen
More than or equal to $30 million but less than $45 million 16% Happened
More than or equal to $45 million but less than $60 million 55% Did not happen
More than or equal to $60 million but less than $75 million 22% Did not happen
More than or equal to $75 million 2% Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Apr 2023 55% 22% 16% 4% 2%
More than or equal to $45 million but less than $60 million More than or equal to $60 million but less than $75 million More than or equal to $75 million More than or equal to $30 million but less than $45 million Less than $30 million
The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.