Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?
Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) are biofuels with similar properties to conventional jet fuel that are used to power aircraft, and recently synthetic biology has been used to create new SAFs. Cemvita Factory uses synthetic biology to convert carbon dioxide into SAF and other chemicals. In March 2022, United Airlines Ventures and Oxy Low Carbon Ventures announced a collaboration with Cemvita Factory to commercialize synthetic biology produced SAF production.
This question will resolve using official announcements, press releases, and/or quarterly reports from United Airlines. For the purposes of this question, “using” SAF produced by Cemvita could refer to use in test/demonstration flights or in commercial flights, with or without passengers, either as the sole fuel or as a part of a mixture. The announcement must indicate that the fuel was used on or before 31 Dec 2023. If no announcement has been made by 31 Dec 2023, or if an announcement only includes an intent to use the fuel but does not indicate that it has been used already, this question will resolve "No". For more context on this topic, see the INFER blog:
This question will resolve using official announcements, press releases, and/or quarterly reports from United Airlines. For the purposes of this question, “using” SAF produced by Cemvita could refer to use in test/demonstration flights or in commercial flights, with or without passengers, either as the sole fuel or as a part of a mixture. The announcement must indicate that the fuel was used on or before 31 Dec 2023. If no announcement has been made by 31 Dec 2023, or if an announcement only includes an intent to use the fuel but does not indicate that it has been used already, this question will resolve "No". For more context on this topic, see the INFER blog:
Outcome
| Outcome | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.