By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
This question will resolve using the qubits of the systems listed under the Access Plans available from IBM Quantum Computing. We will not distinguish between exploratory and non-exploratory systems. At the time of question launch (13 October 2022), the highest qubit system available is 127 qubits, offered through the premium plan Eagle system (listed as ‘exploratory’).
Note that IBM may announce a press release or launch of a higher-qubit system but not make it available as a Premium Plan system by the time the question closes. In this scenario, this question would resolve “No”.
Note that IBM may announce a press release or launch of a higher-qubit system but not make it available as a Premium Plan system by the time the question closes. In this scenario, this question would resolve “No”.
Outcome
| Outcome | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.