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How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree?

Multiple choice Opened 10 November 2022 Closed 1 October 2023 Resolved 1 September 2023 285 forecasts 43 forecasters
The International Genetically Engineered Machine (iGEM) Foundation is an independent, non-profit organization dedicated to the advancement of synthetic biology, education and competition, and the development of an open community and collaboration. Performance at iGEM’s Grand Jamboree, which includes competitions at the high school, undergraduate, and graduate levels, is often cited as a measure of progress for countries’ synthetic biology workforce (NIH, Royal Society of Biology).  
The 2023 Jamboree is expected to take place in Fall 2023, with team lists published in the weeks beforehand. This question will resolve once the team list for the 2023 competition is released. Team lists from past competitions can be found here. The number of teams from the United States in past years is below: 

Outcome

Answer Final crowd forecast Resolution
Less than 40 0% Did not happen
More than or equal to 40 but less than 60 98% Happened
More than or equal to 60 but less than 80 2% Did not happen
More than or equal to 80 but less than 100 0% Did not happen
More than or equal to 100 0% Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 2022 Apr 2023 Sep 2023 98% 2% 0% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 40 but less than 60 More than or equal to 60 but less than 80 More than or equal to 80 but less than 100 Less than 40 More than or equal to 100
The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.