Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023?
The chief of Myanmar’s military junta, Min Aung Hlaing, declared that the country would hold elections by August 2023 as part of a broader pledge to restore democracy in the country (Deutsche Welle). If held, these elections would be the first since Myanmar’s military took power in a coup in 2021 (The Guardian).
Resolution Criteria:This question will only resolve once voting has begun for a nationwide general election (including early voting) or the 31 December 2023 deadline has passed. It will not resolve on an official announcement of an election date. This question will resolve as "yes" if election voting occurs anywhere in the country, even if voting is cancelled in some locations.
Additional Reading:
Resolution Criteria:This question will only resolve once voting has begun for a nationwide general election (including early voting) or the 31 December 2023 deadline has passed. It will not resolve on an official announcement of an election date. This question will resolve as "yes" if election voting occurs anywhere in the country, even if voting is cancelled in some locations.
Additional Reading:
- Myanmar Plans to Hold Fresh Election in August 2023
- U.N. rights envoy warns that Myanmar's election will be a 'fraud'
- In Myanmar, Sham Elections Aren’t the Path to Stability
Outcome
| Outcome | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.