From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 9,000 or more protests and riots in Pakistan?

Yes/No Opened 5 January 2023 Closed 1 January 2024 Resolved 16 January 2024 508 forecasts 56 forecasters

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot events in Pakistan for a given time period:

Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
Select the following event types:
- Riots
- Protests
Select “Pakistan” from the Region filter.
Click “Apply Filters”
Ensure the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph displays “Event Count”

Additional Reading:

Outcome

Outcome	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Yes	1%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.