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Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Yes/No Opened 16 February 2023 Closed 1 January 2024 Resolved 12 February 2024 812 forecasts 113 forecasters

This question will resolve using the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ list of Significant Cyber Incidents (CSIS). To qualify for resolution, a cyber incident reported by CSIS must directly reference quantum computing, such as by using the terms "quantum computer" or "quantum computing," or be associated with major media coverage referencing quantum computing.

Additional Reading:

Outcome

Outcome Final crowd forecast Resolution
Yes 0% Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Feb 2023 Jul 2023 Jan 2024 0% Yes
The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.