From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?

Multiple choice Opened 18 May 2023 Closed 1 June 2024 Resolved 3 July 2024 419 forecasts 47 forecasters

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protests and riots in Colombia for a given time period:

Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
Select “Protests” and “Riots” from the event type filter.
Select “Colombia” from the Region filter.
Click “Apply Filters”

The total number of protests and riots for the relevant time frame will be reported at the top of the page after “Events:”
Additional Reading:

Colombian rebel leader says peace talks are ‘on pause’ (AP News)
Thousands march across Colombia to oppose government reforms (Reuters)

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than or equal to 749	0%	Did not happen
Between 750 and 1499, inclusive	0%	Did not happen
Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive	3%	Did not happen
Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive	97%	Happened
More than or equal to 3000	0%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive Between 750 and 1499, inclusive More than or equal to 3000 Less than or equal to 749

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.