From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Multiple choice Opened 25 May 2023 Closed 1 June 2024 Resolved 3 July 2024 440 forecasts 50 forecasters

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of battles and incidents of violence against civilians in Venezuela for a given time period:

Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates.
Select “Battles” and “Violence against civilians” from the event type filter.
Select “Venezuela” from the Region filter.
Click “Apply Filters”

The total number of battles and incidents of violence against civilians for the relevant time frame will be reported at the top of the page after “Events:”

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than or equal to 499	99%	Happened
Between 500 and 999, inclusive	1%	Did not happen
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive	0%	Did not happen
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 2000	0%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

Less than or equal to 499 Between 500 and 999, inclusive Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive More than or equal to 2000

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.