What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?

Multiple choice Opened 9 July 2024 Closed 1 January 2025 Resolved 14 February 2025 321 forecasts 54 forecasters

Semiconductors are a foundational component of modern electronics, powering everything from smartphones to military systems to advanced medical equipment (Investopedia, SIA). Consequently, trends in semiconductor markets could signal upcoming shifts in consumer technology, industrial output, and even geopolitical dynamics.

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) predicts semiconductor revenue in the Americas to rise to $168 billion in 2024 (WSTS). This would account for 27.5% of predicted worldwide billings for the year, up from 25.5% in 2023.

Resolution Criteria:

This question will be resolved by using the Total Year data for 2024 in the Americas and Worldwide in WSTS’ Historical Billings Report, expected to be available in early 2025.

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than 24%	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%	0%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%	1%	Did not happen
More than or equal to 28%	99%	Happened

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

More than or equal to 28% More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% Less than 24%

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.