According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will there be at least 37 million inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025?

Yes/No Opened 13 June 2025 Closed 1 August 2025 Resolved 1 October 2025 269 forecasts 137 forecasters

The United States frequently experiences large numbers of inbound travelers during the summer months. Recent monthly inbound traveler totals include:

April 2025: 30,867,275
March 2025: 30,996,915
February 2025: 26,623,117

Historical July data shows:

July 2024: 37,551,806
July 2023: 36,220,035
July 2022: 31,429,836

Resolution Criteria: This question will be resolved as "Yes" using U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data on Traveler and Conveyance Statistics. To see the number of inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025:

Navigate to the CBP Traveler and Conveyance Statistics page
In the data selection options, under “Measure Name” select “Travelers”(note: the page defaults to "Conveyances"). All other options should be “All”.
Locate the "FY Arrivals by Month" table
Find the figure reported for July 2025

NOTE: The table shows figures rounded to the hundred thousands. Hover over the number to see the actual number of travelers reported. This number must be equal to or greater than 37,000,000 for the question to resolve “Yes”.
All entry methods are included (passenger vehicle, air, pedestrian, truck, etc.). The means of entry will not have any bearing on the resolution of the question.

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Yes	6%	Did not happen
No	94%	Happened

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

No Yes

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.