Will the United Nations Security Council adopt a resolution related to the conflict in Sudan by 1 May 2026?

Since April 2023, Sudan has been engulfed in a civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), creating what is considered one of the world's largest humanitarian crises with nearly 13 million people displaced and more than 30 million requiring humanitarian assistance (Council on Foreign Relations, UK House of Lords Library). In October 2025, the RSF captured El Fasher—the last major city in Darfur outside its control—following an 18-month siege, with reports of mass killings and ethnically motivated atrocities (Brookings).
The UN Security Council has adopted several resolutions on Sudan in 2024-2025, including Resolution 2736 in June 2024 demanding the RSF halt its siege of El Fasher, and Resolution 2791 in September 2025 extending the sanctions regime until October 2026 (UN Press, UN Press). However, in November 2024, Russia vetoed a UK-Sierra Leone resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire, marking a significant division within the Council (Al Jazeera).
Resolution Criteria: This question will resolve as “Yes” if the UN Security Council adopts a resolution related to the conflict in Sudan on or before 1 May 2026. Resolution sources will be the official UN Security Council records accessible at https://press.un.org/en/content/security-council and https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/un-documents/sudan/.
For the purposes of this question, a resolution is considered “related to the conflict in Sudan” if it meets at least one of the following criteria:

• Explicitly mentions the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), or the conflict between them
• Addresses humanitarian access, civilian protection, ceasefire arrangements, or peacekeeping operations specifically in the context of the current Sudan conflict (which began in April 2023)
• Extends, modifies, or establishes sanctions regimes targeting individuals, entities, or activities related to the current conflict
• Extends or establishes mandates for panels of experts, fact-finding missions, or other bodies specifically tasked with investigating or monitoring the current conflict
• Addresses the humanitarian crisis in Sudan arising from the current conflict

The following will NOT be sufficient for positive resolution:

• Security Council press statements, presidential statements, or other non-binding declarations
• Resolutions solely concerning South Sudan (a separate country)
• Resolutions that mention Sudan only in passing or as part of broader regional or thematic resolutions
• Technical roll-over resolutions that merely extend existing mandates without substantive provisions related to the conflict (e.g., purely procedural extensions that do not reference the conflict situation)