Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
Context. On January 15, 2020, the U.S. and China entered into a trade agreement, offering a reprieve to the escalating trade war. The COVID-19 pandemic has slowed China's purchases of U.S. goods required by the agreement, and President Trump has threatened to terminate the agreement if China does not uphold its end (Washington Post).
Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on reports in popular media sources. An official announcement of withdrawal qualifies.
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Outcome
| Outcome | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.
No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.