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How much snowfall will Washington, DC receive in February 2026?

Multiple choice Opened 29 January 2026 Closed 1 March 2026 Resolved 6 April 2026 152 forecasts 30 forecasters

February is typically the snowiest month in Washington, D.C., with an average of 5.0 inches based on 1991-2020 climate normals (NOAA NCEI). However, February snowfall totals vary considerably from year to year, ranging from trace amounts to over 30 inches in extreme cases (NWS Baltimore/Washington).

Historical data from Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport shows that February snowfall has ranged from less than 0.25 inches in light years to over 5.7 inches in heavy years, with extreme outliers reaching 30-35 inches (Current Results). Recent Februarys have seen variable snowfall: February 2025 recorded 6.5 inches, marking the first above-average February since 2015, while February 2024 saw only 0.1 inches (WUSA9). Six of Washington, D.C.'s 10 largest snowstorms on record occurred in February, including the record "Snowmageddon" event in 2010 that brought 32.1 inches (WUSA9).

Resolution Criteria:

This question will be resolved using official monthly climate data published by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) for Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (station GHCND:USW00013743). The data can be accessed through NCEI's Climate Data Online portal.

Outcome

Answer Final crowd forecast Resolution
Less than 2 100% Happened
More than or equal to 2 but less than 5 0% Did not happen
More than or equal to 5 but less than 8 0% Did not happen
More than or equal to 8 0% Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jan 2026 Feb 2026 Mar 2026 100% 0% 0% 0%
Less than 2 More than or equal to 2 but less than 5 More than or equal to 5 but less than 8 More than or equal to 8
The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.