What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Multiple choice Opened 6 June 2020 Closed 16 August 2020 Resolved 21 August 2020 63 forecasts 57 forecasters

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Nexis Metabase, a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. An article is on the topic of AI if it mentions the term "artificial intelligence"; and it's on the topic of privacy and security if it mentions the terms "privacy" and "security."

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than 0.5%	13%	Did not happen
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive	49%	Did not happen
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5%	23%	Happened
More than 1.5%	15%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.