How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Context. Facial recognition is a core part of surveillance technologies. An increase in market interest for surveillance technologies will likely coincide with an increase in funding for companies that focus on facial recognition.
Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. For this question, a company is a "facial recognition" company if Crunchbase places it in that industry. For a list of Crunchbase facial recognition companies, see here. This question resolves on January 30, 2021, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days.
The data underlying the graph is here.
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Outcome
| Answer | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $200 million | 6% | Happened |
| More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million | 19% | Did not happen |
| Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive | 24% | Did not happen |
| More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion | 21% | Did not happen |
| More than $1.1 billion | 30% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.
No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.